Friday, October 30, 2009

CF - HR, 10/31

Just a brief rundown of this week's picks.

Indiana (+17.5) at Iowa

Indiana is a becoming a solid Big Ten team. They aren't likely to win many more games in the league or make a bowl game, but they have been competitive. I'm probably a bit biased by seeing them give Michigan a run for their money, but I think they have some solid pieces.

Iowa is solid and talented, but not particularly explosive. The Hawkeyes' average margin of victory at home is only 4 points this season, and that includes games against IAA Northern Iowa and Sun Belt powerhouse Arkansas State. Add in that Iowa is coming off a tough three game stretch that included a home nail biter against Michigan, and tough road trips to Wisconsin and Michigan State, and the Hawkeyes appear primed for a let down. Not enough to lose outright, but enough not to cover a 17.5 point spread against an underrated team.


UNDER - Purdue at Wisconsin (53)

This one is based a lot on feeling and past performance. These are two average teams that scream for an average game. I don't see either of these teams scoring more than a few touchdowns, so 53 just seems out of range.


For the record, a few others I feel good about this week, but aren't in my top two.

Boston College (-5.5) over Central Michigan
UNDER - NC State at FSU (64.5)
New Mexico State (+44) over Ohio State
Georgia Tech (-405) over Vanderbilt
Mississippi (-195) over Auburn
Nebraska (-500) over Baylor
Oklahoma State (315) over Texas
UNDER - Mississippi State at Kentucky (45)
UNDER - New Mexico at San Diego State (52)
USC (-3) over Oregon
Michigan State (-3.5) over Minnesota
Louisville (-2.5) over Arkansas State

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